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Showing posts with label political process. Show all posts
Showing posts with label political process. Show all posts

Thursday, 16 January 2025

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 16 of 2025

1856hrs:

I'm inputting today's diary almost 14 hours later than intended. My routine is haywire, despite which I'm still fulfilling all my daily duties, just not in the right time frame in a daily routine context.

....

Dr Nazir Gilani continues with his documentation activism and gives his prescription on demilitarisation:

Demilitarizing Kashmir: A Call for Peace, Dialogue, and Self-Determination

The recent remarks made by the Indian Army Chief during the 77th Army Day celebrations, where he accused Pakistan of orchestrating violence in Kashmir and emphasized the induction of 15,000 additional troops in 2024, have sparked significant reactions, particularly from Pakistan. While the situation in Kashmir is undeniably complex, it is important to address the issue within the broader historical context, international commitments, and the necessity for a peaceful resolution that prioritizes the rights and aspirations of the Kashmiri people.

1. Historical Context and UN Supervised Vote:

The Kashmir dispute is not merely a military issue but a deeply political and human rights issue rooted in the promises made at the time of India’s partition and the subsequent accession of Jammu and Kashmir to India. The Government of India (GOI) has committed itself to a UN-supervised plebiscite in Kashmir, as outlined in United Nations Security Council (UNSC) Resolution 47. The resolution calls for a fair and free process where the Kashmiri people can determine their future. This commitment was reaffirmed at the 230th meeting of the UNSC in 1948, which outlined the role of Indian forces in the region as supplementary and temporary, tasked only with ensuring law and order.

However, the ongoing militarization of the region—especially the recent induction of an additional 15,000 troops in 2024—directly undermines the spirit of these original agreements and international resolutions. The heavy military presence today stands in stark contrast to the intent of UNSC Resolution 47, which sought restraint in the appearance, number, and stationing of forces in the region to avoid exacerbating tensions and to promote a peaceful resolution.

2. Britain’s Acknowledgment of the Insurgency and Diverse Stakeholders:

During the 251st meeting of the UNSC, Britain acknowledged the continuation of the insurgency in Kashmir and pointed out that the conflict involves not just India and Pakistan but also six distinct interest groups within Kashmir itself. These groups—representing various political, social, and ethnic constituencies—have long been anchored in the belief that the UN-supervised plebiscite is the ultimate solution. Their expectations, based on international commitments, have shaped the political discourse surrounding the Kashmir issue for decades.

Thus, when India’s Army Chief labels Pakistan as the “epicentre of terrorism” it oversimplifies the situation and diverts attention from the core issue: the right of the Kashmiri people to determine their own future. While external actors may play a role, the primary concern is the political status of Kashmir and the aspirations of its people. The ongoing insurgency is rooted in both local grievances and the unresolved political status of the region, and framing the issue as a purely external one fails to address these complexities. The focus should be on resolving the issue through political means, respecting the wishes of the Kashmiri people, and honouring international commitments.

3. The Need for Demilitarization:

Demilitarization of Jammu and Kashmir is essential to creating an environment conducive to peace, dialogue, and reconciliation. The continuing induction of military forces, such as the 15,000 additional troops in 2024, only serves to escalate tensions, perpetuate human rights violations, and further alienate the Kashmiri people. The commitment to reducing the military footprint in the region is a crucial step toward restoring trust and creating conditions for a peaceful resolution.

India has made a specific commitment to reduce its military presence in the region. At the 608th meeting of the UNSC, India stated that the minimum necessary force to maintain order in Kashmir was 28,000. However, the Indian government also offered, in a significant gesture, that “on complete disbandment and disarmament of the Azad Kashmir forces, and as a further contribution towards a settlement, the GOI is prepared to effect a further reduction of 7,000 to a figure of 21,000, which is the absolute and irreducible minimum.” This force would be without any supporting arms, such as armour or artillery, as India emphasized the need to avoid further militarization of the region.

This offer of reduction should be seen as a positive step towards demilitarization, but it remains inadequate if the overall approach to Kashmir continues to prioritize military means over political solutions. There is no room for militarizing Kashmir further. The region cannot be resolved by force; it is the consent of the Kashmiri people and the promise of a UN-supervised plebiscite that must prevail. The military presence cannot replace the democratic rights of the Kashmiri people, and the way forward must involve reducing the military presence while promoting dialogue, self-determination, and peace.

4. The Role of the Kashmiri People and the UN Template:

The ultimate resolution of the Kashmir issue must centre around the will of the Kashmiri people, as guaranteed by the United Nations and the commitments made by both India and Pakistan at the UNSC in 1948. The heavy militarization of the region is at odds with the political and democratic aspirations of the Kashmiri people. The UN-supervised plebiscite remains the most legitimate path forward, one that respects the rights of Kashmiris to choose their future.

As highlighted in the State Autonomy Committee Report of June 2000, Jammu and Kashmir’s provisional accession was limited to three areas—defence, communications, and foreign affairs. These restrictions must guide the future governance of the region. Any solution that involves continued militarization and repression will only deepen the divide. The focus must shift to fulfilling international promises, especially the commitment to a UN-supervised plebiscite, and to ensuring that the political rights of the Kashmiri people are fully respected.

5. A Call for Peace and Political Dialogue:

India and Pakistan, along with the international community, must move beyond military posturing and engage in genuine dialogue aimed at achieving a political resolution that respects the rights and aspirations of the Kashmiri people. The Kashmir issue cannot be solved by military means; it requires a political settlement that recognizes the legitimacy of the Kashmiri people's demand for self-determination. India’s continued military presence in Kashmir must be reconsidered in light of international commitments, and the focus should be on reducing military forces while promoting a peace process that includes all stakeholders.

The path to peace in Kashmir lies in honouring the principles of self-determination and democratic governance. The UN-supervised plebiscite remains the only legitimate solution, and India must reaffirm its commitment to this process, ensuring that the military does not stand in the way of the political aspirations of the Kashmiri people.

Conclusion:

In conclusion, JKCHR advocates for the immediate demilitarization of Jammu and Kashmir, in line with the United Nations’ framework and the promises made by both India and Pakistan. India’s offer to reduce its military presence to 21,000 troops without supporting arms should be viewed as a step towards peace, but it is essential that this reduction be part of a broader political resolution that respects the aspirations of the Kashmiri people. The solution lies not in military control but in political dialogue and the implementation of a UN-supervised plebiscite, ensuring that the people of Kashmir are the ones who determine their future.

Dr. Syed Nazir Gilani

President JKCHR

16.01.2025

Dr Nazir Gilani's Facebook post above may be commented on here

I have made the following comment there:

You are probably the only person qualified to anchor such a discussion. Demilitarisation involves creating alternative security arrangements as much as an environment of 'freedom of expression'. These are all matters of internal dynamics within the State, which - the #People of the territory of #AJK - can be credited for creating such amicable conditions, through peaceful & thoughtful mass activism.

....

Later in the evening, we continue with our daily live vlog on Facebook:


Who qualifies to work in public interest in AJK? 

Options:

1) Any individual? 
2) Any party? 
3) Any forum? 
4) Any alliance? 
5) Any committee? 
6) Any government? 
7) Any tribe? 
8) Any religious sect or other special interest group? 

Your answers please. 
As short or as long as possible? 

JKA PUBLIC AGENCY Questionnaire:  #EQ1201516012025

Additional Question:

Do you want to buy conflict stock or peace stock to earn a 10,000% gain (on 10 year fixed deposit) as individuals in the most coveted State in the world?

Follow this daily vlog here on this page (FB) Tanveer Ahmed (sahaafi) or on our dedicated TikTok account - opened on the first day of this year (2025) - @jkapublicagency1

#Conflict2Peace
#PublicPolicy
#PopularSovereignty
#1To100Economy

JKA PUBLIC AGENCY Note: #E232016012025

Responses:
(names remain anonymous at this stage but the relevant district of the respondents is mentioned:

1) Mirpur
نمبر ون (Number 1) viz. any individual

2) Bagh
ایک مشترکہ کمیٹی اور الائنس میں کوئی خاص فرق نہیں ۔ مختصر جواب یہی ہے کے کمیٹی ہو یا الائنس جانداز منشور کے ساتھ اگر جدوجہد کرے تو بہتر ہوگا

(English translation)
There isn't much difference between a collective committee and an alliance. In short, whether it is a committee or an alliance, if it struggles with a strong manifesto, that is best.

3) Muzaffarabad
#4 viz. any alliance

4) Muzaffarabad
2 viz. any party

5) Kotli
Aphc. (All Parties Hurriyat Conference)

6) Neelam
I don't think,.... that the agencies mentioned above are in the position to do something for the welfare of the people of AAJK.....all types of caretaker system are being introduced here to continue the on going situation..... because many people of the globe including India, Pakistan and China, have to earn their bread and butter from this issue that is known as Kashmir problem.

7) Poonch
Jammu Kashmir joint Awami Action Committee

8) Mirpur
To work for the welfare of humanity in the state of Jammu and Kashmir, the approach should be divided into two distinct phases:

i)The Pre-Independence Era of the Entire State:
Before the full independence of the state, it is unrealistic to rely on laws and constitutions for serving the people, as the region is currently under the administration of multiple countries. Instead of ensuring public welfare, these laws and systems have become tools for exploitation and deceit.

In this phase, a strong public alliance will be essential. People must come together, beyond all divisions, to work selflessly for the betterment of humanity.

Efforts should focus on providing basic necessities, facilitating lives, and solving immediate problems through collective action and mutual cooperation.

ii) The Post-Independence Era of the Entire State:

Once the state achieves full independence, a robust and transparent constitution must be established, ensuring equal rights and welfare for all its citizens.

This constitution should include mechanisms for real enforcement, not just theoretical provisions.

It must empower a leader who is a true well-wisher of the entire state, someone who prioritizes humanity, justice, and progress over personal or regional biases.

9) Poonch
1 🙏🏻 viz. any individual

10) UK (Guest response)
Any AJK citizen

11) Poonch
Forums and government.
Also individuals but individual efforts are often fragmented and subjective.

My Response:
Individuals also have a better chance of remaining non-partisan in public affairs. Just a thought.

Their Response (in turn):
Yes, I am the same individual. Doing my work on my own but for the people of AJK.

12) Muzaffarabad
AsSlamOAlikum, 

Hopefully you are done well, profound gratitude that you considered my opinion also means something. 

That part of the Azad Jammu and Kashmir region which we call Azad Kashmir, We have always been in a state of confusion as to whether we are free or whether we are slaves. Because the rulers who impose their rule on us sometimes say that "we are free "Azad Kashmir", sometimes they say that we will take the Freedom "Hum Ly ka Rahen Gy Azadi". 

A small region with resources three times its size has been so degraded that the majority of its population cannot live there. In the last few years, we have seen that most of the youth of Pakistan have left the country after the COVID-19 pandemic & they went and started looking for jobs in other countries. Even now, thinkers, planners, strategists and other patriots sitting in Pakistan are in shock over this... It is being repeatedly discussed that the future of Pakistan is in great danger because the youth here have left. I ask all my friends in Azad Kashmir, out of a population of 4.2 million, 2.6 million Kashmiris have almost said goodbye to their state and gone to other countries for employment. Has any ruler of Azad Kashmir, or our lawyer Pakistan, ever said anything about this? I have not met any famous person, leader, party, forum, alliance, committee, government, opposition, community, tribe, religion or sect I have never seen anyone discuss or work in a progressive manner on this important issue, or any other issue that is relevant to the people of this state.

Our hearts also ache when these situations arise before us and we are unable to do anything special even if we want to. If we talk about hope, then surely one person can come along who can change the situation in the entire state. Such a person can come in the form of a party, a forum, an alliance committee, a government or any other group, But this is just a matter of hope, and the world of dreams is built on hope. It takes hard work to create a world of real reality. 

I would absolutely say that unless our education system is modernized, we will continue to face difficulties. If today we have achieved our rights through our unity, awareness and protest, tomorrow they will bring out a new agenda and put us in harm's way. We have to move forward in our education system along with awareness. I am very impressed with the role played by the Jammu and Kashmir Joint Public Action Committee in the last two years. The entire state was united and brought awareness, and Kashmiris all over the world proudly said, "Yes, I am a Kashmiri." This is a great thing. I would like to thank all 30 members of the committee for this, But my demand is from all the youth of the Kashmiri nation that they should start working for their rights and welfare themselves. 

Allah Pak only helps those who help themselves, We, the people of Azad Jammu and Kashmir, may be few in number, but we are enough to unite our entire country of Jammu and Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan, which has been divided into pieces, and bring it back into one state. Though this determination must include the spirit that we practically play a full role in the welfare of our region. We ourselves must be capable enough to face our oppressors with equality.  The day we become capable, That will be the first day of our prosperity and our enemy will die his own death. 

Therefore I believe, none of any organization is qualified enough to work truly in a public interest but the Educated Youth and People Themselves.

13) Sudhnoti
Anyone and everyone can work in public interest as long as they know what is the public interest concerning subject matters of public interest, how to mobilise tangible and intangible resources, how to develop and sustain partnerships and manage stakeholders and risks.

14) Neelam
عوامی مفاد کے لیے اب تک کام کرنے والی  جموں کشمیر جوائنٹ عوامی ایکشن کمیٹی ہے جو عوامی مفاد کے لیے کام کر رہی ہے مخلص ہو کر

(English translation)
Jammu Kashmir Joint Awami Action Committee has to date worked for public interest in a sincere manner.

15) Poonch
Option 1) Any Individual 
Reasoning for my answer: state must treat all her statesmen equal.

16) Sudhnoti
4 viz. any alliance

17) Mirpur
"I firmly believe that only loyal and dedicated residents of Jammu and Kashmir, who genuinely prioritize the welfare and development of the region, should be considered for leadership or decision-making roles. It shouldn't matter which political party, sect, or community (bradri) they belong to, as long as their intentions are true and they are committed to serving the people, rather than acting as mere puppets for external influences."

18) Mirpur
Anyone who has the collective interest at heart and is motivated solely in public interest and not personal interest

19) Kotli
Any government

20) Jhelum Valley (Hattian)
In AJK, any individual, party, forum, alliance, committee, government, tribe, or group can work in the public interest; provided their efforts are inclusive, transparent, and focused on collective welfare. 

The key is to prioritize public needs over personal or partisan agendas. The Jammu Kashmir Joint Awami Action Committee is a notable example of such effective and consistent advocacy, addressing fundamental public issues with integrity and commitment.

21) Neelam
Whatever little is being done, is being done by the Joint Awami Action Committee. Apart from that; there is no movement, party, committee or other (organisational) formation doing anything in public interest. This is the truth. Even if someone wants to do something in public interest, they do not have the support of the public. Whatever you are doing, I am with you unconditionally. Whenever you need my support, you will find me standing with you.

22) Sudhnoti
Some individuals only.

23) Muzaffarabad
1 viz. any individual

24) Bagh
"Any individual" who is a citizen of AJK.

25) Muzaffarabad
ایکشن کمیٹی
جموں کشمیر جوائنٹ عوامی ایکشن
کمیٹث

(English translation)
Action Committee
Jammu Kashmir Joint Awami Action
Committed

26) Haveli
Action committee

27) Kotli
Every individual should be selected through a computer-based, tamper-proof system that combines psychometric tests to ensure recruitment is based solely on merit. The entire process must be made as transparent as possible. Those serving our nation should receive top-tier salaries to attract the most qualified candidates. This approach will ensure they feel rewarded, reducing the likelihood of them leaving the job or engaging in risky behaviour.

28) Kotli
JKGB Awami Action Committee

29) Sudhnoti
عوامی ایکشن کمیٹی جوائنٹ عوامی ایکشن کمیٹی ریاست جم کشمیر کے حقوق کے لیے جس طرح کام کر رہی ہے میرے اندازے میں اگر اسی طرح ہم سب متفق ہو کر کام کریں تو ریاست جموں کشمیر کی ازادی خود مختاری یا لوگوں کے حقوق ان کو مل سکتے ہیں

(English translation)
The manner in which Joint Awami Action Committee is working for the collective rights of the people of Kashmir, it is my estimation that if we all agree to work together then the freedom, independence of the State of Jammu Kashmir or the rights of the people can be obtained.

30) Kotli
عوام کی حکومت ہونی چاہیے

(English translation)
The public should have their own government

31) Bagh
1 viz. any individual
&
5 viz. any committee

32) Bagh
1 viz. any individual

33) Neelam
The movement in Azad Kashmir has only just begun to gain momentum, particularly with the emergence of the Awami Action Committee. To truly bring about change, we must start at the individual level. Our occupiers, trained in the British tradition of 'divide and rule,' have long exploited our divisions. It's essential that we educate ourselves and the masses about the realities of our occupation and its impact on our lives.

We must recognize that our struggles are not just about economic survival but also about reclaiming our rights and autonomy.

34) Mirpur
(1) Any individual

….


Tuesday, 7 January 2025

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 7 of 2025

1202hrs:

About 7 hours later than intended, even though I got to sleep by c. 0100hrs. However, I couldn't wake before 1100hrs.

It took a further hour for me to remember that a diary input is waiting. 

A day waking up in Dadyaal, which is likely to be the final day of such an event, as a renter of accommodation, as I have been since 2017.

I have never wanted to leave this tehsil and city but obviously Sharda awaits me. 

....

Many have noticed the AJK PM's 'Jihad' speech in Muzaffarabad on the 5th of January 2024 (2 days ago). Dr Nazir Gilani also provides his take:

PM Azad Kashmiri’s call for Jihad – its merits

The Prime Minister of Azad Kashmir (AJK) faces a critical juncture where a shift in approach is not just necessary, but urgent for the future of Kashmir and its people. While the PM's invocation of rhetoric surrounding the ousting of Indian forces and the use of "Jihad" to achieve a free and impartial plebiscite resonates with historical and emotional sentiment, it risks misdirecting resources, alienating key international stakeholders, and undermining the very cause of self-determination for Kashmiris. 

A more prudent and effective approach would be to redirect resources towards the revival of the implementation of the United Nations (UN) template on Kashmir—an approach grounded in international law, historical resolution frameworks, and the preservation of life and democracy.

1. The Dangers of Misusing the Concept of Jihad

The PM's call to invoke "Jihad" in Kashmir is a sentiment rooted in resistance against occupation, yet it risks being distorted in contemporary geopolitics. The term "Jihad" has been co-opted by various actors over the years to justify terrorism, a label that has deeply hurt the legitimate struggle of Kashmiris for self-determination. Today, the environment around Kashmir is one where the term "Jihad" has become associated with violence and extremism in the eyes of the international community. It is critical to recognize that such rhetoric can delegitimize the Kashmiris' legitimate struggle for autonomy, undermining their cause rather than advancing it.

Furthermore, Kashmir has already lost a generation in its quest for freedom. With decades of conflict, the death toll in Kashmir has been staggeringly high, a reality that should not be ignored. The loss of life, alongside the resulting psychological and social scars, means that Kashmir’s very future is at risk. The death of a generation is tantamount to the death of self-determination. In this context, the PM should prioritize saving lives, preserving the region’s future, and ensuring that Kashmiris live to see the realization of their right to self-determination, not through further loss but through diplomatic and legal avenues.

2. The Need for a Return to the UN Template

The PM's rhetoric on Jihad diverts attention away from the legal and political pathways already in place to address the Kashmir dispute. Since the inception of the Kashmir issue in 1947, the UN has laid out a framework—embodied in the resolutions of 13 August 1948 and 5 January 1949—that provides a clear path for the resolution of the Kashmir dispute, specifically through a free and impartial plebiscite under UN supervision. These resolutions have been endorsed by multiple international parties, including France, which has reaffirmed the necessity for both parties to return to these resolutions, and in cases of failure, to submit the issue to the International Court of Justice (ICJ) for arbitration.

The UN template on Kashmir provides a legitimate, peaceful, and internationally recognized path to self-determination. For the PM of Azad Kashmir, this template offers a foundation on which to build a future of peace, stability, and justice. Rather than pursuing futile and potentially destructive actions, the PM should focus on reviving and aligning with the UN framework, which already provides a diplomatic path for resolution. This is not only the legal framework but the one that the international community is most likely to support, including Pakistan, which is a member of the UN and a party to the Kashmir dispute.

3. Preserving Life, Preserving Self-Determination

The idea of "preserving number through preserving life" is paramount in the Kashmir context. Every life lost in Kashmir reduces the region's ability to advocate for a future of peace and self-determination. The right to self-determination, as recognized by the UN, must be pursued in ways that protect and value the lives of those involved. The PM’s focus should be on building a constitutional framework within Azad Kashmir that supports the aspirations of the Kashmiri people for self-determination through peaceful means. This framework should work in close collaboration with civil society and the international community to ensure the full implementation of the UN’s template for Kashmir.

4. The Legal and Constitutional Imperative

The PM must also address the fact that the AJK government has historically fallen short in terms of its legal and constitutional obligations to uphold the UN's resolutions. Notably, sections 8 and 11 of the 1970 Act and the 1974 Constitutional Act of AJK, as well as a 1999 judgment by the AJK High Court, emphasize the importance of the UN resolutions as the guiding framework for Kashmir’s future. However, there has been little indication that the AJK government has made any substantial effort to implement these resolutions or to advocate for the lawful entry and exit of its citizens as outlined in UN Security Council Resolution 47.

The PM must now direct the government’s resources toward ensuring full compliance with these international legal frameworks. This could include seeking legal expertise, pushing for more effective diplomacy, and working with Pakistan to ensure that AJK adheres to its international obligations. It could also involve creating a constitutional framework that not only supports the aspirations of the people of Kashmir but also works in concert with international law, helping the region to regain its credibility on the global stage.

5. Collaboration with Pakistan and the International Community

Pakistan, as a key party to the Kashmir dispute, should be mobilized to assist the AJK government in ensuring that international legal frameworks and UN resolutions are honoured. Given Pakistan's position as a UN member state, it has the political leverage and international standing to facilitate a resolution that is in the best interests of the Kashmiri people. However, this requires a shift in focus from militant rhetoric to diplomatic engagement. By reorienting efforts to revive the UN framework, the PM can work with Pakistan and the international community to ensure that Kashmir’s future is shaped through legal and diplomatic means, not through violence or political grandstanding.

Conclusion

The PM of Azad Kashmir must redirect the government’s resources and efforts from militant rhetoric and forceful calls to action towards the practical implementation of the UN template for Kashmir. The international community, including Pakistan, stands ready to assist, but only if the cause is pursued within the legal and peaceful frameworks already established by the UN. Preserving life in Kashmir, ensuring the dignity of its people, and revitalizing the pursuit of self-determination under the UN’s framework are the most viable paths forward. Only through such efforts can Kashmir hope to see a peaceful, just, and lasting resolution to its long-standing plight.

Dr. Syed Nazir Gilani

President JKCHR

07.01.2025

One may comment directly on Dr Nazir Gilani's post on Facebook here

....

Today's vlog on Facebook Live:


The people of #AJK are very warm, kind, hospitable & attentive. Though this trait is common & abundant, it is primarily found in accidental, coincidental, occasional or temporary conditions. 

This behaviour is not constant, choreographed, long-term or institutionally minded. 
This is not how a country or government can successfully operate. 

We need to cultivate a new approach in our people for better resource allocation and systematic efficiency. 

What we need and what our public is struggling to understand and even identify:

1) Population Census > Public Opinion 
By clarifying the people's 'Right to Rule. 

2) Political representation 
Marking out constituencies with roughly equal weightage of voter population, with political representatives who can abide by the will of the people as clarified in 1).

3) Citizen-State Contract
Technical & constitutional requirements for governance & statecraft to ensure transparency, inclusivity, meritocracy & accountability. 

4) A functioning government in AJK
It will immediately change its initials from AJK to JKA, which poses no threat to anybody and improves the economic well-being of its people 100 x over.

#Conflict2Peace
#PopularSovereignty
#PublicPolicy
#1To100Economy

JKA PUBLIC AGENCY Note: #E233207012025

....

Monday, 6 January 2025

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 6 of 2025

1100hrs:

6 hours later than I would have wanted but again - like yesterday - sleep evaded me until c. 0600hrs. I suppose I could've logged an entry before falling asleep but that condition is one where the mind and soul are neither awake nor asleep. 

This is also the second day that we've not had any sun, just chilly winds.

.... 

We continue to give reference to the words of Dr Nazir Gilani, as he is writing not too far from us in Rawalpindi, Pakistan:

Unique Kashmiri Identity

People of legend, song, and story

The people of Kashmir, as vividly described by Dr. P. Graham – UN Representative for India and Pakistan, represent a people of immense cultural, historical, and spiritual depth—“a people of legend, song, and story, associated with snow-capped mountains, beautiful valleys, and life-giving waters.” 

These words capture not just the geographical beauty of the region, but the very essence of the Kashmiri identity, which has been shaped by centuries of rich heritage, diverse cultural traditions, and a deep connection to the land. The people of Kashmir—comprising Muslims, Hindus, Sikhs, and Christians—have long lived as artisans, farmers, craftsmen, small traders, boatmen, and other labourers, contributing significantly to both the local economy and the broader cultural fabric of the region.

However, despite their historical contributions and the beauty of their land, the Kashmiri people have also endured great suffering. For centuries, they have been subjected to exploitation, conflict, and the imposition of foreign and often divisive political systems. The tragic irony is that the very land that has provided sustenance and livelihood has also been a battleground, where the hopes, dreams, and security of its people have been repeatedly undermined.

To understand the compelling argument for the rights and dignity of the Kashmiri people, it is important to consider the principles of self-determination, security, and dignity—core tenets of human rights enshrined in international law. The Kashmir dispute, at its heart, revolves around the right of the people of Kashmir to determine their own future free from external coercion or political imposition. Dr. Graham's description is a powerful reminder that the Kashmiri people are not a mere footnote in the broader geopolitics of the region but are, in fact, central to the discussion on self-determination.

1. The Right to Self-Determination

The right to self-determination is a fundamental principle of international law, codified in various United Nations resolutions, including the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights. The people of Kashmir, as Graham notes, have a unique identity shaped by centuries of distinct culture, language, and tradition. This cultural and historical uniqueness provides a strong argument for their right to decide their political future in accordance with their own will. Kashmiris, having endured a long history of external impositions, have been denied the opportunity to freely exercise this right.

The promise of a plebiscite—first envisioned by the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) in 1948—was meant to give the Kashmiri people the chance to determine their own destiny. Yet, despite the passing of more than seven decades, this promise remains unfulfilled. Holding a free and impartial plebiscite under international supervision would allow the Kashmiri people to express their collective will in a fair, democratic process. The failure to implement this long-awaited measure only further entrenches the suffering of the people of Kashmir and denies them the basic dignity that comes with being able to shape their own future.

2. Security and Dignity

The issues of security and dignity are intimately connected. The people of Kashmir have lived through decades of violence, displacement, and disruption. Whether due to armed conflict, state repression, or military occupation, the Kashmiris have often found themselves caught in a struggle for survival, facing daily threats to their personal security, their cultural heritage, and their ability to live in peace. This reality has caused immense physical, psychological, and social trauma to generations of Kashmiris.
A solution to the Kashmir issue that genuinely addresses the aspirations of its people must prioritize their security—ensuring that they can live in peace without fear of violence, persecution, or displacement. In tandem with this, their dignity must be respected. As Graham’s description suggests, Kashmiris have long been victims of exploitation, both economically and politically. They deserve to live in an environment where their voices are heard, where their rights are protected, and where they are not marginalized or exploited for the political and economic gains of others.

3. International Recognition and Responsibility

The international community, particularly through the United Nations, has a moral and legal responsibility to ensure that the rights of the Kashmiri people are upheld. The United Nations itself recognized the need for a fair plebiscite, one that would allow the people of Kashmir to determine their political future in a manner consistent with their aspirations. As Dr. Graham suggests, this could become “a challenging example of the progressive values of self-determination to the dependent peoples of the earth.”

By fulfilling its commitment to holding a free and impartial plebiscite in Kashmir, the international community would send a powerful message to all peoples struggling for self-determination around the world. It would also demonstrate a commitment to human rights and justice, values that transcend national borders and serve as the bedrock of the international order.

4. A Future of Peace and Prosperity

The future of Kashmir, and the future of the people who call it home, should not be defined by the perpetual cycle of violence and exploitation. The only way forward is to create a path that recognizes the people of Kashmir as the central agents in determining their own fate. A free, secure, and impartial plebiscite offers the potential to break the chains of conflict and begin the process of healing, reconciliation, and rebuilding.

Should the people of Kashmir be allowed to exercise their right to self-determination, they would have the opportunity to create a future in which all communities—Muslim, Hindu, Sikh, and Christian—can live together in harmony, with mutual respect and shared prosperity. The region’s natural beauty, its rich cultural heritage, and its entrepreneurial spirit would become the foundation for a peaceful and vibrant society. This is not just a vision of hope but a practical reality that can be realized through the exercise of the Kashmiri people’s fundamental right to determine their own political future.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the argument for the rights, dignity, security, and self-determination of the Kashmiri people is grounded in both ethical imperatives and international law. The recognition of their right to determine their own future, through a free and impartial plebiscite, would honour the spirit of justice and human rights that the United Nations was created to uphold. The people of Kashmir have suffered too long under the weight of exploitation and conflict. It is time for the international community to help them reclaim their dignity, their security, and their right to a future defined by their own choices.

DR. Syed Nazir Gilani

President JKCHR

06.01.2025

One may comment directly on Dr Nazir Gilani's post on Facebook here

....

This evening's pre-midnight vlog on Facebook Live:


What we need and what our public is struggling to understand and even identify:

1) Population Census > Public Opinion 
By clarifying the people's 'Right to Rule. 

2) Political representation 
Marking out constituencies with roughly equal weightage of voter population, with political representatives who can abide by the will of the people as clarified in 1).

3) Citizen-State Contract
Technical & constitutional requirements for governance & statecraft to ensure transparency, inclusivity, meritocracy & accountability. 

4) A functioning government in AJK
It will immediately change its initials from AJK to JKA, which poses no threat to anybody and improves the economic well-being of its people 100 x over.

#Conflict2Peace
#PopularSovereignty
#PublicPolicy
#1To100Economy

JKA PUBLIC AGENCY Note: #E234206012025

....

Friday, 23 September 2022

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 266 of 2022

2236hrs:

Day 110 at Maqbool Bhat Shaheed Square - Dadyaal.

0757hrs

My punctuality deficit has decreased to 22 minutes. Hopefully I'm back on track once again.

Punctuality percentage: 62 days on time or early of 110 = 56% punctual.

....

Day 11 of our daily evening virtual engagement with the public brings us our second review already:
 

Associated reference:

Case Study: The Story of Singapore

While we in AJK grapple with the best strategy to bring much needed change in our society, we can seek inspiration from elsewhere:  

Link 

What has become clear so far (in 11 episodes from listeners and participants) is that:

Do we try and get the existing system to deliver with all its structural defects or do we create an alternative grassroots democratic framework for change?

Our people are undecided and unsure. In fact, they will veer towards the former for safety at this stage.

Space Count (That is: How many people have engaged so far): 55 (updated at 1813hrs on 24/09/2022) 

Average space count (11 days so far): 91

....

Friday, 29 July 2022

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 210 of 2022

2027hrs:

Day 54 at Maqbool Bhat Shaheed Square - Dadyaal.

0759hrs

My punctuality deficit has decreased to 533 minutes.

....

Second round of an hour for the third day in a row, in solidarity with all public protests and political prisoners throughout AJK:

1715hrs

JKNAP and their student wing are conducting this daily protest and they invited me to say my bit, which I did in Pahaari, as per convention now:


.... 

Poonch in AJK has taken the lead to give order to public protests throughout the territory:

'All Parties Peoples Rights Forum - District Poonch' is the aptly generic title given to the emerging mass movement in that part of AJK: 


The AJK Government contends that they rebelled against an autocratic ruler in 1947. If we assume that to be correct, it would follow that their legitimacy totally relies on the public (the people or the inhabitants of the territory). It would then follow that they - the AJK Government - must follow the lead of the people, not the robbers.

Here's the Urdu version of the above demands:


....

The baseline:

Passing the buck:


....

 

Saturday, 18 July 2020

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 200 of 2020

1115hrs:

Preparing to leave Mirpur for Chamb.......

Here's a short video to that effect:



....

In the evening we began our daily video update on JKTV at Kot Jamel at the residence of one of JKLF's most prominent activists, namely Toseef Jarral:

(Note: The broadcast had to output in 2 different segments due to connectivity issues) 

Video 1 of 2:



Video 2 of 2:



......

Tuesday, 30 April 2019

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 120 of 2019

0057hrs:


.......

Now, I was just getting into reading the following article........

We are more afraid of change than we should be. 

Resisting change won’t make it disappear — It will make things worse. 

What we resist, persists. 

Resistance is a signal, not a natural behavior. 

We must listen to what it’s trying to tell us, instead…

......And then I was reminded that all information on the internet is not free.

.......

The 'Missing Persons' issue and the Pakistani State's position:




There is much that can be said of what the Pakistani army's representative had to say. With reference to AJK, I'll just pose one question at this stage though:

What war are the citizens of AJK engaged in against the State of Pakistan; that they have to be abducted from their homes and workplaces, whereby some are never seen or heard of again?

Thursday, 14 March 2019

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 73 of 2019

1932hrs:

Protracted Conflict and Local Neutral Arbitration:



Just for the record, the following paragraphs were inexplicably omitted from the end of the article cited above:

After....
Some aspects need dedicated attention in their own right. 

"
I'll just list a few for future engagement:

1) Water Resource Management
2) Security vis a vis China
3) The 360 degree geography of J & K, old silk routes and connectivity in Asia

I’ll finish with an attempt to deal with an oft-cited apprehension that the Indian government would not be keen to allow His Excellency Dr. Karan Singh to visit AJK. We feel that he is our most precious asset and reconciliation without him would be very difficult, not least because he’s an erudite thinker and a living witness to everything that has transpired since the end of the Dogra Raj. 


In my communication with him in 2008, he suggested a few measures to me. I am also privy to a few discussions he had with some of our key historical figures in AJK. I have completed those measures and would be eager to invite him here.
"

Actual end of article......
......

Let's return to the Kashmir Valley for a moment. This short video clip tells a thousand stories:


.....

Returning to AJK but remaining adjacent to the Koshur Valley:


Translation of tweet:

The public of the Neelam Valley are losing their patience over the internet blockade in their region. Protests have begun....

Friday, 2 November 2018

Daily Diary (DD) - Day 306 of 2018

0122hrs:

Controlling the Public Narrative in AJK:

Exhibit 1: Role of the United Kingdom

What is written and photographed in the facebook embed below is all 'fine and dandy' but how do we access this "detailed" and "full fact finding" report?

All I see is photos, no substance. Perhaps some democratic being in the UK can pursue that? Any UK MP that comes here to AJK (or even Pakistan) is chaperoned and kept under very close surveillance. Their movement is controlled and who they meet is manipulated to favour Pakistan's control. Please ensure these MPs of the UK have meaningful engagement with AJK...

(Update): 04/11/18 - 0440hrs:
I found the report yesterday evening and consider it to be thorough about Indian-controlled Kashmir but almost non committal on AJK and GB. Yes, it does have a proviso on these areas and urges the Pakistanis to do some inward soul-searching (these are my words) but it isn't specific or detailed enough. A lacuna persists as does my perception given the crowd surrounding Chris Leslie MP.

End of update....


Compare the above with the - still developing - news below:

Exhibit 2: Role of Pakistan

I'll translate the post from Urdu to English for the benefit of most of my readers:

"When a State or nation is to be enslaved, preliminary steps include depriving the concerned inhabitants of their history followed by erasure of that State's geography.

A group of friends belonging to the Jammu Kashmir National Students Federation (JKNSF) had set up a book stall at a local festival in Abbaspur (district Poonch) a few days ago, where the enemies of the State (read Pakistani clandestine agencies) and their local lackeys forcefully broke up the stall this evening (Thursday 01/11/2018), before banning the student activists from displaying these books in public.

The public and youth of Kashmir (referring to AJK as well as the rest of the State of J & K as a whole) should understand the oppression meted out to this State. Furthermore, those that we consider our own (read the Pakistani State) are in fact the enemies of our quest for freedom. This is a point of concern and provocation to act against injustice.

JKNSF will vehemently raise its voice. The occupiers should understand that these crazy youngsters will no longer tolerate slavery and that they (agents of the Pakistani State) can no longer suppress our voice." 

Aqdus Irfan



This is yet another way of 'controlling' the public narrative in AJK. From the UK parliament to the streets of AJK. Notice how the language of Mr. Irfan seems at first sight very reactionary. However, it should be remembered that it is a response to decades of suppression. There are hundreds if not thousands of examples of such behaviour by our Western neighbours - who happen to profess the same faith as us - and who created a country premised on an argument that they would be marginalised by the Hindu majority in a united India. Pakistan is perpetrating the very crimes it advocated against.

Exhibit 3: Role of India

Here's an even more eye-opening aspect of this conflict some call the 'Kashmir Dispute', which marginalises AJK and its aspiring citizens in almost every conceivable sense. The AJK diaspora is not immune from this and the role of India - despite its democratic credentials - is just as shrewd as the Pakistanis in suppressing peaceful democratic engagement between AJK and the Dogra heartland in Jammu.



Now, as this post is in Urdu too, let me summarise the issue:

The gentleman in question - Sajjad Raja - has as his introduction on his facebook page the following words: "Long Live Struggle for Reconciliation among Gilgit Baltistan, Azad Kashmir, Jammu, Ladakh & Kashmir."

This should describe his innocent intent. However, it has become clear over the years that India and Pakistan will go to any length to prevent any meaningful engagement between these divided parts of the erstwhile Dogra State of Jammu & Kashmir. In this respect, both countries work in tandem as opposed to against each other, which is the most common perception about the 2 countries vis a vis the territory of Jammu & Kashmir.


Hence, the need to highlight this particular development:



Sajjad Raja's visa issue:

Security clearance could not be obtained for members of Jammu Kashmir National Awami Party (JKNAP) - UK for their party's convention in Jammu on the 11th of November.

7 members from the UK (all originating from AJK) and 1 member of the party from AJK were due to attend this convention. 3 of the 7 from the UK were issued with electronic visas (e-visa) by the Indian High Commission in London. The other 4 were deferred to the regular visa process and their decisions were pending. Ultimately, no response was given in this regard.

In the meantime, the party member from AJK was refused a visa by the Indian High Commission in Islamabad, Pakistan.

It was decided between party members that the 3 who had managed to obtain visas should proceed to travel to India and onwards to Jammu. Tickets were purchased and all other arrangements to prepare for travel were made. Likewise, arrangements for their stay in Jammu were also completed by the local hosts of the convention.

However, on the 11th of October Sajjad Raja received a call from the Indian High Commission in London to inform him that the 3 visas had been cancelled. He was also informed that they wouldn't be able to even board the flight from Manchester via Muscat (Oman) to Delhi. If they (the travellers) managed to get through that stage, they wouldn't be able to board the onward flight from Oman to Delhi and if they managed to get through that hurdle, on arrival at Delhi they would be forcibly put back on the same plane on its return to Oman. Further, that they would be black-listed from ever entering India in the future.

These political workers had been preparing for this trip to Jammu for the past 4 months, only to be denied barely days before their journey. Upon enquiry to highly influential people in Jammu, it transpired that this decision had been made at a very senior level of the Indian State structure.

So even if you are peaceful, democratic and secular there is little - if any - scope for the divided citizens of Jammu & Kashmir to seek reconciliation and mutual understanding across the LOC. The message is that you will be thwarted, if not by Pakistan then by India. Both are an alibi and guarantor of the other's presence here.

Experiences such as these usually make the determined even more determined. If the struggle for justice is consistent, humanity always triumphs at the end.....








Thursday, 13 July 2017

'Citizen Public Opinion Survey - AJK' - The Report (1.0)





Below is the initial drawing board of the above


This researcher's two youngest children balancing and 'ok'ing the 10,000 completed survey forms last October

These are the very 10,000 survey forms used to collect a rich, random, representative and diverse range of public opinion throughout the 32 subdivisions of AJK. The field work took 5 years and 2 months overall but a dedicated 2 years in aggregate. It has subsequently taken almost 9 months to sift through masses of data collected during field work. We are now ready to publish the result in phases...

1st phase: 13th of July 2017 - (1.0)


- An initial quantitative summary of results generated (without analysis)
- Broad statistics of categories (of people) sampled
- This content equals ........

2nd phase: 13th of August 2017 onwards - (2.0)

- The period between Report 2.0 and 3.0 (below) will coincide with 32 public forums in each of the 32 subdivisions (tehsils) of AJK. This structure will also coincide with incremental publishing of Report 2.0 as its content develops with each forum. 
- Methodology used, comparison (with other surveys), analysis, observations and 
qualification of the unconventional manner in which this report was produced, will gradually be included in the report over this period.
- The reasoning behind dissemination of information in such a manner is primarily to take into account the capacity of our public to digest and act upon the information given. In our judgement, if a 500 page book were to be published in one static sweep, there would be less than a hundred people in this territory willing to read it in full. Therefore, information should flow incrementally to prepare our people sufficiently enough - in doses - to participate in a consensus-building exercise with a view to creating an indigenous political process.
- Thus, the public opinion survey in AJK has been a building-block towards creating OBMs (Ownership-Building Measures) in Jammu & Kashmir or (J & K) for short.
- Please visit the following link for further elaboration of this concept: 

From CBMs to OBMs

3rd phase: October 2018 - (3.0)

- A 500 page book which will comprehensively cover various aspects of public interest in Azad Jammu & Kashmir (AJK). It will draw heavily on field data generated between 2014 and 2017 in particular. 

It should also be remembered that any activity related to assisting unfettered self-determination of the citizens of AJK comes with a heavy price. The right to freedom of expression and movement are certainly not a given in this territory. Using one's initiative to create avenues for peaceful and participatory conflict resolution demanded a lot more in energy, determination and resources than one could have initially imagined.

Without delving into thick detail at this stage, we think the following snapshot will give readers an indication of our argument: 

This researcher had to endure:
- 2 kidnappings by Pakistan's army/clandestine agencies. 
- 1 arrest and framing of dubious charges by local law enforcement, at the behest of the institution/s responsible for the kidnappings cited above.
- A total of 31 days in detention.
- Countless other hurdles which will be elaborated on in due course

Finally, given the specific conditions in which this territory functions, giving our people as well as the rest of world time 'to chew' over the statistics presented below will - amongst other practical considerations - in time provide a sound basis for fruitful debate on the future status of J & K, one feels.

Quantitative Summary of Report:

- 10,000 citizens (who reside in AJK or are otherwise affiliated with it and who qualify under the State Subject Rule of 1927) were asked 10 questions. These were divided into 4 parts. Namely:
1) 3 questions on the enduring 'national question' of J & K
2) 2 questions on governance
3) 3 questions on the economy
4) 2 questions on social policy

- Each question offered choices/options for the interviewee but they were not limited to those choices. This interviewer tried to be as flexible and as open-ended as was practically possible without compromising structure, to derive maximum research output.
  - Each citizen (bar 15 - 20 samples) was randomly sampled by visiting each of the 32 subdivisions (tehsils) of AJK and their respective quantity was determined according to population data extrapolated from the AJK Government's Planning & Development Department's booklet of 2013.

Questions and Results:

Q1: Do you believe in the integrity of the State of Jammu and Kashmir (84,471 sq. m) as it stood up to October 1947?

Options                        
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Yes (Y)                    
9,710                      
97%
No (N)                      
214
2%
Don't know (DK)        
75
1%


   
           
Other answer:


No Response (NR)
1

Q2: If you had one choice, which of the following identities would you attach yourself to?



Options                        
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Indian (I)                  
10
0%
Kashmiri (K)              
7,286                    
73%
Pakistani (P)            
2,698                      
27%




  
Other answers:


No response (NR)
2
Self-Determination (SD)
2
Abstained (A)
1
Kashmiri & Pakistani (KP)
1

Q3: To resolve our 'national question', which one of the following countries' support should we seek?


Options
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Britain (B)
878
9%
China (C)
3,887
39%
Saudi Arabia (KSA)
2,092
21%
Turkey (T)
360
4%
UAE
269
3%
USA
1,763
18%




Other answers:

None of them (NOT)
594
6%
United Nations (UN)
64
1%
Don’t Know (DK)
25
0%
Ourselves (O)
19
0%
Pakistan (P)
15
0%
India-Pakistan (IP)
9
0%
Indo-Pak-China (IPC)
5
0%
Organisation of Islamic Countries (OIC)
4
0%
Pakistan and Everyone (PE)
4
0%
All of them (AOT)
2
0%
All Muslim Countries (AMC)
1
0%
Everyone Plus (EP)
1
0%
If India agrees
1
0%
Indo-Pak-UN (IP/UN)
1
0%
Just Ourselves (JO)
1
0%
Kashmir-Indo-Pak (KIP)
1
0%
OIC and Ourselves
1
0%
OIC and UN
1
0%
Not sure
1
0%
Not these
1
0%


Q4: How do you rate our current constitutional and administrative structure?

Options  
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Good (G)
806
8%
Bad (B)
3,309
33%
Weak (W)
4,704
47%




Other answers:

Very Bad (VB)
408
4%
Very Weak (VW)
348
3%
Bad – 0 (B0)
299
3%
Total other responses (TOR) listed below
126
1%
Bad and very corrupt (BVC)
44
0%
Very Good (VG)
10
0%
Very Bad – 0 (VB0)
10
0%
Bad and Corrupt (BC)
8
0%
Bad, Very Bad (BVB)
6
0%
Very, Very Bad
6
0%
Bad x 3 and corrupt (B3C)
4
0%
Bad with expletive (BF)
3
0%
Bad and Lost (BL)
3
0%
Bad and Totally Corrupt (BTC)
3
0%
Weak – 0 (W0)
3
0%
Bad x 10 (B-10)
2
0%
Bad and disastrous (BD)
2
0%
Bad like hell (BH)
2
0%
Bad – 0 and corrupt (B0 C)
2
0%
Bad and unfit (BU)
2
0%
Very Bad x 3 (BVVV)
2
0%
No response (NR)
2
0%
Very Weak – 0 (VW0)
2
0%
Weak and medium (WM)
2
0%
Bad x 2 (B2)
2
0%
Bad x 3 (B3)
1
0%
BBADNAAM – Bad and disgraceful
1
0%
Mostly Bad and a little Good (BBG)
1
0%
Bad and reckless (BR)
1
0%
Bad and totally f...ed (BTFU)
1
0%
Bad and Weak (BW)
1
0%

Q5: Is it important to have a citizen-state contract?


Options  
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Yes (Y)
9,781
98%
No (N)
95
1%
Don’t know (DK)
124
1%





Q6: What are the essential elements of a viable economic policy?
(In order of importance - grade from 1 to 3)


Options                    
1) Our own currency (public treasury/fiscal policy)
2) Research and ownership of resources 
3) Opening of trade routes throughout the divided State and beyond


Combination
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
312
1,987
20%
N12
1,748
17%
321
1,684
17%
123
1,140
11%
213
945
9%
N21
934
9%
132
816
8%
231
702
7%



Explanation of this particular question/answer format:

- The highest result i.e 312 chosen by 1,987 people means that the interviewees chose number 3 first (routes) followed by number 1 (treasury) as second choice and number 2 (research) as third choice.
- The second highest result i.e. N12 chosen by 1,748 people means that N is non-applicable and presumes that an Indian or Pakistani identity favouring interviewee would want their economy to be administered/controlled by the federation whose identity they prefer. Thus, their first choice would actually be number 2 (research) and second choice number 3 (routes).                                   
- The result N21 chosen by 934 people likewise considered number 3 (routes) as their first choice and number 2 (research) as their second choice. In other words, 2 followed by 1 is actually 3 preferred to 2.

Other answers:


Response
Results
2
14
No response (NR)
12
3
6
1
5
All needed (AN)
2
Confused question
1
Don’t know (DK)
1
Not applicable (NA)
1
No comment (NC)
1
Waste of time
1

Further Note: 
- The answers 2, 3 and 1 indicate that these particular interviewees did not answer the question fully or did not understand it. 

Q7: What should be the public/private ratio of our economy?


Options  
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
50/50
4,616
47%
60/40
1,507
15%
70/30
3,810
38%




Other answers:

Response
Results
80/20
22
100% (Public Sector)
17
No Response (NR)
7
Don’t know (DK)
6
30/70 (in favour of Private Sector)
5
90/10
5
40/60 (in favour of Private Sector)
1
20/80 (in favour of Private Sector)
1
Can’t fix
1
No comment (NC)
1
Un-necessary question
1

Q8: Should our natural resources be open to private companies (privatisation) ?


Options  
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Yes (Y)
6,782
68%
No (N)
3,021
30%
Don’t know (DK)
196
2%



Other answer:

Un-necessary question
1

Q9: Can Muslims co-exist with Non-Muslims?


Options  
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Yes (Y)
7,122
71%
No (N)
2,775
28%
Don’t know (DK)
103
1%







Q10: Should there be equal rights and (responsibilities) amongst citizens irrespective of cast, creed, colour, ideology or religion?


Options  
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Yes (Y)
9,858
99%
No (N)
95
1%
Don’t know (DK)
47
0%



Survey Report 1.0 thus far:

Having provided a summary of total stats for the 10 questions put to 10,000 citizens of AJK, collected from throughout the territory and before segmenting the stats into 3 administrative divisions, then 10 districts followed by 32 tehsils (subdivisions); One feels it is important to provide stats on various categories of those interviewed to provide insight into their representative character or otherwise.

It is also important to mention that among the various (possibly) unique methods adopted to conduct this survey, was the manner in which it was financed. Namely that it was crowd-funded (by AJK citizens) and involved a proposition to each interviewee to voluntarily contribute to the expenses involved in conducting this survey. The stats for citizen responses to this somewhat 'peculiar' approach should also provide many insights, which will be further explored gradually through 'Report 2.0'.

We should also take this opportunity to provide a link below to the PDF of the survey form used, followed by some notes in relation to its structure and use.

Survey Form

This form has undergone various but very minor changes since it was first used in July 2011. Most of those changes are related to design but none of the questions have been altered from their basic inference. 

It should also be noted that over 85% of interviewees were (as unassumingly as possible - to avoid bias) asked these 10 questions face to face and in a local language (Pahari or Urdu) - without actually showing the interviewee the form - unless they specifically requested to see it. The form always remained in English and was never translated into any other language whatsoever. The form's main utility was to help us organise data meaningfully rather than anything else. 

Having said that, from amongst students that were interviewed (1,995 in total of 10,000 c. 20%), most of them were interviewed in their classrooms - whereby the form was handed out to them and each question explained in a local language, with the forms being returned after roughly 10-15 minutes, all in the interviewer's presence. Apart from that, 6 interviewees submitted their opinion online while 2 interviewees took the form and returned it after a few days.  

Gender Ratio (of interviewees throughout AJK):


Gender 
Interviewed
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Females
1,041
10%
Males
8,959
90%






- Ideally, having a 50-50 gender ratio would have roughly reflected the population of AJK. However, practically this would have been impossible for a variety of factors. Not least, because it is relatively a conservative society compared to Western Europe. There are not many women visible in public life (unlike men) and randomly sampling them could have created problems (of perception) for the researcher, despite his best intentions.
- Taking into account the above factors, obtaining a 5% ratio of women sampled was the initial target of the researcher. Women were interviewed at courts, hospitals, social welfare organisations, banks and educational institutions. The ultimate ratio achieved was indeed over 10%, which is more than the ratio of women active in public life here. 

Age Stats:

- The process of inputting the age of interviewees was introduced around midway through the survey. As will be discussed in more detail in 'Report 2.0' the whole exercise from 2011 to 2017 of collecting data was an improvised and constantly evolving one. Some aspects of data collection were discarded at stages when they were deemed unnecessary while other aspects whose importance grew during the exercise were included. Hence, the collection of age data from only the last 48.3% of those interviewed. However, the methodology and approach used to conduct the survey remained the same as from the outset, thus it could be argued that the age composition may not have been significantly different if 100% of the interviewees' age(s) were noted.
- Age given by 4,830 of 10,000 interviewees i.e. 48.3% 
- Mean average age of all interviewees asked = 33.7

Age Group
Interviewed
Rounded off to nearest whole number
16-30
2,612
54%
31-45
1,176
24%
46-60
770
16%
61 plus
272
6%

- A small quantity of students interviewed in classrooms were under 16 (c.20) but apart from them all other interviewees (students or otherwise) were above 16 while the oldest was considered to be a 100 years old!
- Thus, age not given/taken = 5,170 = 51.7%



Finance Stats:

- When one wants to contribute to resolving a public issue in any given territory, they have to utilise the natural environment surrounding them, as well as the human capital residing within or emigrated from the territory in question. This lengthy public opinion survey was financed primarily by the citizens who were interviewed and included occasional injections of support from other citizens within the territory of AJK or its diaspora. 
- The figures given here are specifically percentages derived from those that were actually interviewed. It should also be remembered that although the minimum financial support requested was 10 Pakistani rupees, almost everyone interviewed was a mutual stranger and they had to judge whether or not to finance the survey almost spontaneously, based on the short briefing we would give them at the end of the survey. Also, given that this exchange of information and finance was purely voluntary, the percentages derived should be interpreted with all the aforementioned factors in mind.
- Initially, the finance aspect was not part of the survey but it gradually drew on this researcher that; conducting this lengthy public opinion survey throughout the 32 sub-divisions of AJK could not possibly be done by receiving assistance from their family alone. 
- Thus, as the concept of exercising self-determination evolved in the researcher's mind, it was only logical that we engaged our co-citizens in assisting us with a share of their input into this much-needed public process.
- Initially, 993 of 10,000 interviewees were not asked for a financial contribution i.e 9.9% 


Responses  
Results
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Contribution in kind
289
3%
Didn’t contribute
3,169
35%
Financial contributions
5,581
62%

- Percentages don't account for those that were not asked for a financial contribution - mainly in the earliest stages of the survey - hence the percentages are derived from the 3 categories of responses listed.
- Contributions in kind included: food, accommodation, kahwa, diesel, engine oil, photocopies etc.
- Total aggregate cash received from survey interviewees throughout AJK = 2,77,065 Pakistani rupees.
- The total amount spent on conducting the survey from beginning of field work in 2011 to publishing of report 1.0 on the 13th of July 2017 will be gradually made available (via annual income/expenditure data) as report 2.0 takes shape over the course of the next 14 months. Thus, by October 2018 a detailed 500 page book titled as 'Citizen Public Opinion Survey Report - AJK 3.0' will emerge.  
- Mean average financial contributions received from each interviewee = 49.6 Pakistani rupees.
- In total, about 65% of survey interviewees in AJK contributed in some shape or form.


Stats by Occupation:


Description
Interviewees
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Advocates/Lawyers
241
2%
Agriculturists/Farmers
378
4%
Army/Agencies
249
2%
Artisans
65
1%
Auto/Skilled
113
1%
Banking
304
3%
Building/Construction
239
2%
Business/Retail
2,465
25%
Drivers
301
3%
Property/Landlords
14
0%
Finance/Legal
60
1%
Government Servants
1,236
12%
Hotel/Food
138
1%
Journalists
113
1%
Labourers
371
4%
Mainstream Politicians
51
1%
Management/Admin
80
1%
Medical/Health
103
1%
Mobile/Software
50
1%
Personnel
285
3%
Private Educators
328
3%
Private/Unspecified
31
0%
Sales/Marketing
404
4%
Social/Political
97
1%
Students
1,995
20%
Transport Related
54
1%
Unemployed
235
2%

- As can be seen above, there were 27 broad categories interviewed which covered perhaps every occupation that exists in AJK. During the course of 'Report 2.0' each category (where applicable) will be broken down into sub-categories. At this stage we'll just brief you on those categories that may need immediate explanation:
- Property/Land refers to very large landowners or those who have an abnormally high number of commercial properties. The figure given viz. '14' may quite possibly be lower than the actual amount of interviewees deserving this category. Like most opinion survey interaction, this exercise also required an element of mutual faith and judgement.  
- Government Servants included all grades (from 1 to 22) and covered all departments operating within AJK.
- Mainstream politicians included (past and present) members of the legislative assembly (MLAs) of AJK and local members of the Kashmir Council, which practically functions as an 'Upper House'.
- Finally, the meaning of the word 'Personnel' has been tweaked here to include hairdressers, tailors and jewellers etc.



Of the 27 broad categories of occupation, only 10 of the categories have been described in the pie-chart above. Those categories that constituted 2% or less of the whole survey sample have been lumped together into one category (described as 17 other categories and totaling 19%) and are effectively the 11th piece of the pie, signified by the colour orange and could be described in clock format as between about 1030hrs and midday on the pie-chart.

Area Stats:

- As intimated earlier, the 10,000 survey sample was proportionately distributed quota wise, according to the estimated population of each tehsil (subdivision), extrapolated from data cited in AJK's Planning & Development Department's booklet namely, "Azad Jammu & Kashmir - at a glance 2013".
- Without delving into a detailed description of AJK's legal and constitutional status at this stage, it should be suffice to understand that this territory (5,134 square miles) constitutes roughly 6% of the whole territory of J & K (c. 85,000) which was ruled by the Dogra dynasty of Jammu in gradual phases of conquest or conciliation since 1820. It remained under formal British suzerainty from 1846 to August 1947.
- The status, identity, governance, economy and society of AJK have remained in legal limbo since the abrupt British colonial withdrawal in 1947. One of the multi-faceted aims of this survey has been to prepare our citizens to address this limbo in a creative but consensual manner.
- This initiative so described should give an indication that the legislature, judiciary and executive operating in AJK is ill-equipped to take the steps taken by this researcher, in conjunction with his co-citizens. 


A reasonably detailed map of AJK and its location in relation to its neighbourhood 


Division-wise



Division  
Interviewees
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Mirpur
4,055
41%
Muzaffarabad
2,652
27%
Poonch
3,293
33%



District-wise


District  
Interviewees
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Bagh
903
9%
Bhimber
1,088
11%
Hattian Bala
595
6%
Haveli
358
4%
Kotli
1,945
19%
Mirpur
1,022
10%
Muzaffarabad
1,598
16%
Neelam
459
5%
Poonch
1,302
13%
Sudhnoti
730
7%



Subdivision-wise

Sub-division (Tehsil)  
Interviewees
Rounded off to nearest whole number
Abbaspur
185
2%
Athmaqam
285
3%
Bagh
350
4%
Baloch
237
2%
Barnaala
323
3%
Bhimber
419
4%
Charoi
162
2%
Chikaar
96
1%
Dadyaal
313
3%
Darlya Jattan
139
1%
Dheerkot
394
4%
Hajeera
472
5%
Harigel
159
2%
Hattian Bala
376
4%
Haveli
183
2%
Khuiratta
253
3%
Khursheedabad
65
1%
Kotli
732
7%
Leepa
123
1%
Mirpur
709
7%
Mong
81
1%
Mumtazabad
110
1%
Muzaffarabad
1,108
11%
Nikyaal
160
2%
Palandri
278
3%
Pateeka
490
5%
Rawalakot
555
6%
Samaahni
346
3%
Sehnsa
499
5%
Sharda
174
2%
Thorar
90
1%
Trarkhel
134
1%


Mirpur Division (11 sub-divisions)


Muzaffarabad (7 sub-divisions)


Poonch (14 sub-divisions)


This brings us to the end of 'Citizen Public Opinion Survey - AJK' The Report (1.0)

Please follow our journey throughout the 32 sub-divisions of AJK, by following (Report 2.0) as it progresses until completion in October 2018 with (Report 3.0).

Contact:

Tanveer Ahmed


An independent researcher on AJK - uninterrupted since April 2005

Contact (Mobile/Whatsapp): 00923455044252
Blog: sahaafi.net
Twitter: @sahaafi
Facebook.com/sahaafi
Skype: sahaafi







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